Dogs uses an unusual dice pool scheme. Thus, I thought I would include some analyses of the probabilities for them.
The following table predicts the fallout results for fixed sets of dice. In general, if you have a mixed set of dice (i.e. 3d4+3d6), the lower die type will increase the probability of experience (i.e. rolling a one), but they won't change the severity probabilities much. The "Average" column indicates the average result, counting an experience fallout as +1, and a long-term fallout as -1.
| Fallout Dice |
Result | Average | XP | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Short-Term | 1 Long-Term | 2 Long-Term + Inj. | Gr. Inj. | Death | |||||||
| 1-7 | 1-7+XP | 8-11 | 8-11+XP | 12-15 | 12-15+XP | 16-19 | 16-19+XP | 20 | |||
| 3d4 | 31.2% | 53.1% | 10.9% | 4.7% | +0.422 | 57.8% | |||||
| 4d4 | 18.8% | 55.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | +0.422 | 68.4% | |||||
| 5d4 | 10.9% | 52.3% | 12.8% | 23.9% | +0.396 | 76.2% | |||||
| 6d4 | 6.2% | 47.1% | 11.5% | 35.1% | +0.356 | 82.2% | |||||
| 3d6 | 10.6% | 21.3% | 41.2% | 19.4% | 6.0% | 1.4% | -0.441 | 42.1% | |||
| 4d6 | 4.0% | 13.3% | 35.5% | 34.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% | -0.441 | 51.8% | |||
| 5d6 | 1.5% | 7.9% | 28.1% | 42.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | -0.504 | 59.8% | |||
| 6d6 | 0.6% | 4.6% | 21.4% | 47.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | -0.547 | 66.6% | |||
| 3d8 | 4.5% | 9.0% | 25.0% | 15.2% | 33.8% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% | -0.998 | 33.0% | |
| 4d8 | 1.3% | 4.2% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 36.8% | 18.9% | 5.9% | 2.0% | -1.168 | 41.3% | |
| 5d8 | 0.4% | 1.9% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 35.0% | 28.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | -1.248 | 48.7% | |
| 6d8 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 4.4% | 10.7% | 31.1% | 36.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | -1.280 | 55.2% | |
| 3d10 | 2.3% | 4.6% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 29.3% | 9.0% | 25.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | -1.373 | 26.8% |
| 4d10 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 22.6% | 13.5% | 32.3% | 11.1% | 5.2% | -1.492 | 33.3% |
| 5d10 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 34.6% | 18.9% | 8.1% | -1.526 | 38.6% |
| 6d10 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 34.1% | 26.1% | 11.4% | -1.528 | 42.6% |
In case of a Fallout Total from 12 - 15, the character is badly injured. He automatically takes 2 picks from the long-term Fallout list. However, he also has to roll his Body against the Fallout total. He must be able to See the Fallout Total using 3 dice or less. So this is essentially the question of highest of 3d6 vs a target number from 12 to 15. The probabilities of success are below:
| Body Dice |
Target Number (Fallout Total) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |
| 3d6 | 37.5% | 25.9% | 16.2% | 9.3% |
| 4d6 | 61.7% | 48.8% | 35.5% | 23.1% |
| 5d6 | 77.5% | 66.1% | 52.6% | 37.7% |
| 6d6 | 87.0% | 78.2% | 66.1% | 50.9% |
| 7d6 | 92.6% | 86.1% | 76.1% | 62.1% |
| 8d6 | 95.8% | 91.3% | 83.4% | 71.1% |